tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5974487880746995076.post8385091635086652268..comments2024-02-24T03:37:22.662-05:00Comments on Seth Curry Saves Duke!: Finishing StrongSPRhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03786996249022843460noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5974487880746995076.post-73735326019653422662010-07-22T14:34:17.936-04:002010-07-22T14:34:17.936-04:00You're probably right. On the other hand, if h...You're probably right. On the other hand, if he can put up 3-4 more very good years, and Rose's record is in sight, I can imagine a small market team signing him for the express purpose of attracting crowds to watch him break the record. Of course, he would have to play third base.<br /><br />But I agree, the chance is really small.<br /><br />-SAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5974487880746995076.post-80115301034677489832010-07-22T13:48:41.639-04:002010-07-22T13:48:41.639-04:00There is zero chance of him catching Rose. With t...There is zero chance of him catching Rose. With the advanced stats available today nobody will be putting him on the field full time even 4 years from now. His defense will continue to decline, and he doesn't have the power to be an option at DH or 1B.NastyEmunoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5974487880746995076.post-69818802952384488082010-07-22T13:29:29.472-04:002010-07-22T13:29:29.472-04:00The real question to ask is whether Jeter can brea...The real question to ask is whether Jeter can break Pete Rose's record. The short answer is no, but the long answer is maybe.<br /><br />Jeter, at age 36, has 10,237 plate appearances and 2,853 hits. Rose, at age 36, had 10,717 plate apperances, and 2,966 hits. So with 500 more plate appearances, Rose had 113 more hits. To date, Jeter's hit % is 27.8. Rose's was 27.6.<br /><br />Rose was 37 by the time he played another game, whereas Jeter just turned 36 in June. Jeter has averaged 697 plate appearances per year, not counting his 51 plate appearances in 1995. If you subtract a month's average from that (he turned 36 on June 26), you have about 540 plate appearances until he's the exact same age that Rose was when he had 2,966 hits. 540 x 27.8 (Jeter's hit %) is 150 more hits.<br /><br />So if we add that to Jeter's current total, we have a projected hit total of 3,003 hits when he hits 37. When Rose hit 37, he had 2,966.<br /><br />In other words, Jeter is 37 hits ahead of the Pete Rose curve. If he plays exactly as long as Rose played, and stays .2 percentage points above Rose's hit percentage, you'd project that he would break the record by about 50 hits.<br /><br />That being said, Pete Rose played until he was 45. Will Jeter be able to play that long? Will he want to? Will he be able to stay with the Yankees in a full-time capacity if he decides to make a run at Rose's record?<br /><br />Probably not. But maybe.<br /><br />-SAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5974487880746995076.post-23336965633964145812010-07-22T12:27:31.001-04:002010-07-22T12:27:31.001-04:00You really think Jeter can average 200 hits a year...You really think Jeter can average 200 hits a year for seven more seasons? (age 37-43)NastyEmunoreply@blogger.com